Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 12:38 PM, 234 voters in 28 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 211,293 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 183,360 - 245,115). In addition, 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 12:38 PM 3044 c(2.5% = 2766) c(97.5% = 3437)
02 12:38 PM 4907 c(2.5% = 4430) c(97.5% = 5493)
03 12:38 PM 2667 c(2.5% = 2291) c(97.5% = 3196)
04 12:38 PM 2651 c(2.5% = 2247) c(97.5% = 3209)
05 12:38 PM 7149 c(2.5% = 6440) c(97.5% = 8178)
06 12:38 PM 1808 c(2.5% = 1611) c(97.5% = 2200)
07 12:38 PM 1716 c(2.5% = 1122) c(97.5% = 2341)
08 12:38 PM 6711 c(2.5% = 6161) c(97.5% = 7760)
09 12:38 PM 3179 c(2.5% = 2885) c(97.5% = 3843)
10 12:38 PM 3853 c(2.5% = 3409) c(97.5% = 4999)
11 12:38 PM 1675 c(2.5% = 1402) c(97.5% = 2086)
12 12:38 PM 2910 c(2.5% = 2527) c(97.5% = 3515)
13 12:38 PM 2613 c(2.5% = 2239) c(97.5% = 3126)
14 12:38 PM 1172 c(2.5% = 1059) c(97.5% = 1400)
15 12:38 PM 3508 c(2.5% = 3177) c(97.5% = 3943)
16 12:38 PM 1399 c(2.5% = 1136) c(97.5% = 1807)
17 12:38 PM 3216 c(2.5% = 2808) c(97.5% = 3864)
18 12:38 PM 3030 c(2.5% = 2674) c(97.5% = 3321)
19 12:38 PM 1290 c(2.5% = 924) c(97.5% = 1773)
20 12:38 PM 1321 c(2.5% = 1041) c(97.5% = 1613)
21 12:38 PM 7820 c(2.5% = 7050) c(97.5% = 8707)
22 12:38 PM 4194 c(2.5% = 3779) c(97.5% = 5345)
23 12:38 PM 2470 c(2.5% = 2053) c(97.5% = 2958)
24 12:38 PM 2119 c(2.5% = 1804) c(97.5% = 2375)
25 12:38 PM 2059 c(2.5% = 1629) c(97.5% = 2466)
26 12:38 PM 3020 c(2.5% = 2604) c(97.5% = 3329)
27 12:38 PM 3949 c(2.5% = 2945) c(97.5% = 4474)
28 12:38 PM 1485 c(2.5% = 1210) c(97.5% = 1917)
29 12:38 PM 1531 c(2.5% = 1357) c(97.5% = 1788)
30 12:38 PM 3138 c(2.5% = 2873) c(97.5% = 3601)
31 12:38 PM 2715 c(2.5% = 2324) c(97.5% = 2967)
32 12:38 PM 2483 c(2.5% = 2013) c(97.5% = 3079)
33 12:38 PM 2054 c(2.5% = 1431) c(97.5% = 2641)
34 12:38 PM 5571 c(2.5% = 5007) c(97.5% = 6700)
35 12:38 PM 3788 c(2.5% = 3142) c(97.5% = 4534)
36 12:38 PM 4614 c(2.5% = 4175) c(97.5% = 5369)
37 12:38 PM 1592 c(2.5% = 1270) c(97.5% = 2061)
38 12:38 PM 2816 c(2.5% = 2527) c(97.5% = 3267)
39 12:38 PM 5827 c(2.5% = 5152) c(97.5% = 6650)
40 12:38 PM 5798 c(2.5% = 4931) c(97.5% = 6929)
41 12:38 PM 2278 c(2.5% = 1778) c(97.5% = 2720)
42 12:38 PM 2863 c(2.5% = 2210) c(97.5% = 3538)
43 12:38 PM 2197 c(2.5% = 1617) c(97.5% = 2877)
44 12:38 PM 1785 c(2.5% = 1514) c(97.5% = 2157)
45 12:38 PM 2603 c(2.5% = 2090) c(97.5% = 3097)
46 12:38 PM 3496 c(2.5% = 3238) c(97.5% = 4320)
47 12:38 PM 1101 c(2.5% = 945) c(97.5% = 1322)
48 12:38 PM 2597 c(2.5% = 2249) c(97.5% = 3016)
49 12:38 PM 3237 c(2.5% = 2773) c(97.5% = 3849)
50 12:38 PM 4554 c(2.5% = 4079) c(97.5% = 6110)
51 12:38 PM 2894 c(2.5% = 2503) c(97.5% = 3498)
52 12:38 PM 3605 c(2.5% = 3256) c(97.5% = 4620)
53 12:38 PM 2568 c(2.5% = 2084) c(97.5% = 3084)
54 12:38 PM 1850 c(2.5% = 1391) c(97.5% = 2265)
55 12:38 PM 2971 c(2.5% = 2321) c(97.5% = 3527)
56 12:38 PM 4375 c(2.5% = 3560) c(97.5% = 5120)
57 12:38 PM 3825 c(2.5% = 3211) c(97.5% = 4485)
58 12:38 PM 6396 c(2.5% = 5267) c(97.5% = 7499)
59 12:38 PM 3137 c(2.5% = 2793) c(97.5% = 3797)
60 12:38 PM 2483 c(2.5% = 2205) c(97.5% = 3000)
61 12:38 PM 3834 c(2.5% = 3242) c(97.5% = 4605)
62 12:38 PM 2763 c(2.5% = 2166) c(97.5% = 3351)
63 12:38 PM 3638 c(2.5% = 3189) c(97.5% = 4182)
64 12:38 PM 2025 c(2.5% = 1622) c(97.5% = 2387)
65 12:38 PM 3030 c(2.5% = 2600) c(97.5% = 3546)
66 12:38 PM 6331 c(2.5% = 5308) c(97.5% = 7398)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:11 AM 3103 151
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105
11:22 AM 1503 156
9:02 AM 0120 63
8:10 AM 0819 60
11:29 AM 0213 47
9:15 AM 0904 69
11:30 AM 3914 140
11:30 AM 4920 110
10:00 AM 3945 156
11:00 AM 0102 111
11:00 AM 0108 105
11:00 AM 0109 89
11:00 AM 0107 54
11:30 AM 0833 124
11:00 AM 0104 120
7:50 AM 4622 31
11:00 AM 0105 47
11:30 AM 1810 140
11:39 AM 0834 106
11:32 AM 0116 99
11:43 AM 0537 122
11:43 AM 0501 99
11:45 AM 2702 88
11:40 AM 4808 118
11:53 AM 0528 194
11:45 AM 1815 121
11:45 AM 1816 192
11:45 AM 1817 193
11:45 AM 0217 111
11:50 AM 3610 112
11:50 AM 0217 112
12:00 PM 3637 153
12:00 PM 3638 118
9:40 AM 0218 88
12:05 PM 0110 127
9:20 AM 0803 123
9:22 AM 0803 125
11:00 AM 0209 104
7:22 AM 0506 9
12:01 PM 0101 96
12:01 PM 0103 164
12:00 PM 2125 127
12:01 PM 0107 69
12:01 PM 0110 127
12:01 PM 0114 128
12:01 PM 0115 191
12:01 PM 0117 175
12:01 PM 0119 166
12:15 PM 1503 175
12:01 PM 0121 160
10:00 AM 2702 65
12:15 PM 4903 216
7:01 AM 1511 17
12:02 PM 0526 182
12:29 PM 3103 175
12:29 PM 3113 151
10:47 AM 1507 1
12:38 PM 1716 80
11:00 AM 6522 121
12:38 PM 0528 208
12:38 PM 0528 208
11:00 AM 0120 127
12:23 PM 6008 80
7:40 AM 6509 22

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions